Mississippi State vs Alabama 10/27/2012

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Mississippi State. AJ McCarron is averaging 255 passing yards and 2 TDs per simulation and T.J. Yeldon is projected for 91 rushing yards and a 57% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Mississippi State wins, Tyler Russell averages 0.96 TD passes vs 0.54 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.38 TDs to 0.86 interceptions. LaDarius Perkins averages 79 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Mississippi State wins and 68 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -24
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